Ethan Bueno de Mesquita's Publications and Working Papers
Ethan Bueno de Mesquita

Harris School of Public Policy
The University of Chicago


Peer Reviewed Articles

Forthcoming. Territorial Conflict over Endogenous Rents. Journal of Politics.

2018. Learning About Voter Rationality (with Scott Ashworth and Amanda Friedenberg) American Journal of Political Science 62(1):37-54.

2017. Unified vs. Divided Political Authority (with Scott Ashworth). Journal of Politics 79(4):1372-1385.

2017. Accountability and Information in Elections (with Scott Ashworth and Amanda Friedenberg). American Economic Journal: Microeconomics 9(2): 95-138.

2015. Political Accountability with Sequential Policymaking (with Dimitri Landa). Journal of Public Economics 132:95--108.

2015. Measuring Political Violence in Pakistan: Insights from the BFRS Dataset (with C. Christine Fair, Jenna Jordan, Rasul Bakhsh Rais, and Jacob N. Shapiro). Conflict Management and Peace Science 32(5):536--558.

2014. Is Voter Competence Good for Voters?: Information, Rationality, and Democratic Performance (with Scott Ashworth) American Political Science Review. 108(3):565-587

2013. Rebel Tactics. Journal of Political Economy 121(2):323-357.

2011. Ideologues or Pragmatists? (with Amanda Friedenberg). Journal of the European Economic Association 9(5):931-951.

2011. Disentangling Accountability and Competence in Elections: Evidence from U.S. Term Limits (with James Alt and Shanna Rose) Journal of Politics 73(1):171-186.

2010. Regime Change and Revolutionary Entrepreneurs American Political Science Review 104(3):446-466.

2009. Elections with Platform and Valence Competition (with Scott Ashworth). Games and Economic Behavior 67(1):191-216.

2008. Terrorist Factions. Quarterly Journal of Political Science 3(4):399-418.

2008. Electoral Selection, Strategic Challenger Entry, and the Incumbency Advantage (with Scott Ashworth). Journal of Politics 70(4):1006-1025.

  • R code for simulations in Figures 1, 2, 3, 4-5, and 6

2008. Public Protection or Private Extortion? (with Catherine Hafer). Economics and Politics 20(1):1-32.

2008. Informative Party Labels with Institutional and Electoral Variation (with Scott Ashworth). Journal of Theoretical Politics 20(3):251-273.

2007. Regulatory Quality under Imperfect Oversight (with Matthew Stephenson). American Political Science Review 101(3):605-620.

2007. The Propaganda of the Deed: Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Mobilization (with Eric Dickson). American Journal of Political Science 51(2):364-381.

2007. Politics and the Suboptimal Provision of Counterterror. International Organization 61(1):9-36.

2006. Delivering the Goods: Legislative Particularism in Different Electoral and Institutional Settings (with Scott Ashworth). Journal of Politics 68(1).

2006. Legal Institutions and Informal Networks (with Matthew Stephenson). Journal of Theoretical Politics 18(1):41-68.

2006. Monotone Comparative Statics for Models of Politics (with Scott Ashworth) American Journal of Political Science 50(1):214-231

2005. The Quality of Terror. American Journal of Political Science 49(3):515-530.

2005. The Terrorist Endgame: A Model with Moral Hazard and Learning. Journal of Conflict Resolution 49(2):237-258.

2005. Conciliation, Counterterrorism, and Patterns of Terrorist Violence. International Organization 59(1):145-176.

2002. Informative Precedent and Intra-Judicial Communication (with Matthew Stephenson). American Political Science Review 96(4):755-766.

2002. The Binds that Tie: Creating a Virtuous Cycle of Commitment through Communal Expectations. CCAR Journal: A Reform Jewish Quarterly Winter: 93-103.

2000. Strategic and Non-Policy Voting: A Coalitional Analysis of Israeli Electoral Reform. Comparative Politics 33(1):63-80.

Other Publications

2015. All Else Equal in Theory and Data (Big or Small) (with Scott Ashworth and Christopher Berry). PS: Political Science & Politics 48(1):89-94.

2008. The Political Economy of Terrorism: A Selective Overview of Recent Work. The Political Economist 10(1):1-12.

Ongoing Projects

Working Papers

Deterrence with Imperfect Attribution (with Sandeep Baliga and Alexander Wolitzky)

From Investiture to Worms: A Political Economy of European Development and the Rise of Secular Authority (with Bruce Bueno de Mesquita)

Regime Change and Equilibrium Multiplicity

Coming Soon

Information and Incumbency (with Scott Ashworth and Amanda Friedenberg)

Treatment Effects and Information Effects (with Scott Tyson)

Model, Mechanism, Principle, Preferences (with Scott Ashworth and Christopher Berry)
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