Guanglei Hong

Ph.D., University of Michigan, 2004

Associate Professor with tenure

Contact Information:

Department of Comparative Human Development

Committee on Education
The University of Chicago
1126 E. 59th Street
Chicago, IL 60637, USA
Phone: 773-702-9481
Fax: 416-926-4713
Email: ghong@uchicago.edu

 

Research Interests:

- Quantitative research methodology

- Causal inference theories and methods

- Experimental and quasi-experimental designs

- Multi-level modeling

- Longitudinal data analysis

- Policy and program evaluation

- Causal mediation analysis

- Instructional effectiveness

I have focused my research on developing causal inference theories and methods for evaluating educational and social policies and programs in multi-level, longitudinal settings. My work addresses issues including

(1) how to conceptualize and evaluate the causal effects of treatments when individual responses to alternative treatments depend on various features of the organizational settings,

(2) how to adjust for selection bias in estimating the effects of concurrent multi-valued treatments,

(3) how to study instruction as time-varying treatments, and

(4) how to conceptualize and analyze the causal mediation mechanism.

For example, I argue that how much a child learns depends not only on the instructional program but also on who the classmates are, as the teacher may adapt curriculum and instruction to the class composition, and as students may contribute to the collective learning process. I view instruction as a multifaceted intervention program in which every single element needs to operate in concert with other parts of the program to produce a joint impact. Moreover, Schooling is a longitudinal process in which later learning experiences are built upon earlier learning results. Understanding the impact of sequences of instructional experiences is thus central to the study of teaching and learning. And finally, revealing the mediation mechansim is at the core of testing theories about causality. Because advancements in these quantitative research methods are best illustrated and utilized through empirical investigations of prominent educational issues, I communicate with a broad audience through applying the causal inference methods to studies of specific policies and instructional practices such as grade retention, within-class grouping, intensive math instruction, educational services for English language learners, teacher induction programs, welfare-to-work programs, and job training programs.

 

Curriculum Vitae

Representative Publications:

Hong, G. (2015). Causality in a social world: Moderation, mediation, and spill-over. West Sussex, UK: Wiley-Blackwell.

Hong, G., Deutsch, J., & Hill, H. (in press). Ratio-of-mediator-probability weighting for causal mediation analysis in the presence of treatment-by-mediator interaction. Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics.

Qin, Xu., & Hong, G. (2014). Causal mediation analysis in multi-site trials: An application of ratio-of-mediator-probability weighting to the Head Start Impact Study. In JSM Proceedings, Social Statistics Section. Alexandria, VA: American Statistical Association, pp.912-926.

VanderWeele, T., Hong, G., Jones, S., & Brown, J. (2013).Mediation and spillover effects in group-randomized trials: A case study of the 4R’s educational intervention. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 108(502), 469-482.

Hong, G. (2013). Covariate-informed parallel design: Discussion of “experimental designs for identifying causal mechanisms” by Imai, Tingley, and Yamamoto. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Serial A, 176, 35.

Hong, G., & Raudenbush, S. W. (2013). Heterogeneous agents, social interactions, and causal inference. In the Handbook of Causal Analysis for Social Research (pp.331-352), edited by Stephen L. Morgan. NY: Springer.

Hong, G. (2012). Marginal Mean Weighting through Stratification: A Generalized Method for Evaluating Multi-Valued and Multiple Treatments with Non-Experimental Data. Psychological Methods, 17(1), 44-60.

Hong, G. & Nomi, T. (2012).Weighting methods for assessing policy effects mediated by peer change. Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness special issue on the statistical approaches to studying mediator effects in education research, 5(3), 261-289.

Hong, G. (2012). Editorial comments. Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness special issue on the statistical approaches to studying mediator effects in education research, 5(3), 213-214.

Hong, G., Corter, C. Hong, Y. & Pelletier, J. (2012). Differential effects of literacy instruction time and homogeneous grouping in kindergarten: Who will benefit? Who will suffer? Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, 34(1), 69-88.

EEPA2011supplementary

Hong, G. (2012). Covariate-informed parallel design: Discussion of “experimental designs for identifying causal mechanisms” by Imai, Tingley, and Yamamoto. To appear in the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Serial A.

Hong, G., Deutsch, J., & Hill, H. (2011). Parametric and non-parametric weighting methods for estimating mediation effects: An application to the National Evaluation of Welfare-to-Work Strategies. 2011 Proceedings of the American Statistical Association, Social Statistics Section. Alexandria, VA: American Statistical Association.

JSM 2011 Simulation Results

Hong, G. (2010). Marginal mean weighting through stratification: Adjustment for selection bias in multilevel data. Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 35(5), 499-531.

Hong, G. (2010). Ratio of mediator probability weighting for estimating natural direct and indirect effects. 2010 Proceedings of the American Statistical Association, Biometrics Section [pp.2401-2415]. Alexandria, VA: American Statistical Association.

Hong, G., & Hong, Y. (2009). Reading instruction time and homogeneous grouping in kindergarten: An application of marginal mean weighting through stratification. Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, 31(1), 54-81.

Hong, G., & Raudenbush, S. W. (2008). Causal inference for time-varying instructional treatments. Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 33(3), 333-362.

Hong, G., & Yu, B. (2008). Effects of kindergarten retention on children's social-emotional development: An application of propensity score method to multivariate multi-Level data. Special Section on New Methods in Developmental Psychology, 44(2), 407-421.

Hong, G., & Yu, B. (2007). Early grade retention and children's reading and math learning in elementary years. Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, 29(4), 239-261.

Hong, G., & Raudenbush, S. W. (2006). Evaluating kindergarten retention policy: A case study of causal inference for multi-level observational data. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 101(475), 901-910.

Hong, G., & Raudenbush, S. W. (2005). Effects of kindergarten retention policy on children's cognitive growth in reading and mathematics. Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, 27(3), 205-224.

Guest Editor

Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness special issue on the statistical approaches to studying mediator effects in education research, July 2012, Volume 5, Issue 3

Co-Orgainzer

Workshop on Quantitative Research Methods in Education, Health, and Social Sciences

Courses

Applied Statistics in Human Development Research (CHDV 20101-30101)

Causal Inference (HSTD 43201, SOCI 30315, STAT 31900)

Mediation, Moderation, and Spillover Effects (CHDV 32411, CCTS 32411, PBPL 29411, PSYC 32411, STAT 33211)

Student Resources

- Structure of a dissertation proposal (Flow chart created by Emiko Koyama, June 2008)