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On Morality and Mortality: The Joel Hypothesis Revisited

Since its introduction in 1977, William "Billy" Joel's proposition that "Only the Good Die Young" has gained wide acceptance among scholars and critics of youth culture. Figure 1, however, illustrates a plausible alternate scenario. Following Joel's claim, the two uppermost circles represent two populations: the "Good," and those who "Die Young." The third circle, not labeled, represents a hypothetical population whose members, despite exclusion from the "Good," may nonetheless be a part of the "Die Young" population. While the existence of such a group remains an open empirical question, examples of populations that may meet these criteria include careless narcoleptics or ill-tempered rodeo clowns. Thus, it seems reasonable to conclude that while some good people may die young, and some people who die young are, in fact, good, it is not only virtuous individuals at risk for premature mortality.

Our esteemed colleague's work is not wholly without merit, however. The other assertion of import to be found in the same work--that "Catholic girls start much too late"--has been the subject of much research, and is generally accepted in academic circles and popular culture alike.

Figure 1: Three poorly drawn circles and some barely legible words.

References:
Joel, W. 1977. Only The Good Die Young: A case study of adolecent sexual activity and mortality rates at a Long Island faith-based educational institution. New York: Columbia Records


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