Steven N. Durlauf

Harris School of Public Policy
University of Chicago

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    Books

  • Handbook of Economic Growth 2 (coeditor with P. Aghion), Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2013.

  • New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, Revised Edition, (general editor with L. Blume), London: MacMillan, 2008.

  • Econometric Theory and Practice: Frontiers of Analysis and Applied Research, (coeditor with P. D. Corbae and B. Hansen), New York: Cambridge University Press, 2006.

  • Poverty Traps, (coeditor with S. Bowles and K. Hoff), Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2006.

  • The Economy as an Evolving Complex System III (coeditor with L. Blume), New York: Oxford University Press, 2006.

  • Handbook of Economic Growth I, (coeditor with P. Aghion), Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2005.

  • Social Dynamics, (coeditor with H. P. Young), Cambridge: MIT Press, 2001.

  • Meritocracy and Economic Inequality, (coeditor with K. Arrow and S. Bowles), Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1999.

  • The Economy as an Evolving Complex System II, (coeditor with W. B. Arthur and D. Lane), Redwood City: Addison-Wesley, 1997.

  • Long-Run Economic Growth, (coeditor with J. Helliwell and B. Raj), Heidelberg: Physica-Verlag, 1996.

  • Papers

  • "Model Uncertainty and the Effect of Shall-Issue Right-to-Carry Laws on Crime," with S. Navarro and D. A. Rivers, European Economic Review, 1, 32-67, 2016.

  • "On Sturdy Policy Evaluation," with William Brock, Journal of Legal Studies, 44, S2, 2015.

  • "Capital In the Twenty-First Century: A Review Essay," with L. Blume, Journal of Political Economy, 123, 4, 749-777, 2015.

  • "Linear Social Interactions Models," with L. Blume, W. Brock, and R. Jayaraman, Journal of Political Economy, 123, 2, 444-496 2015.

  • "Design Limits and Dynamic Policy Analysis," with W. Brock and G. Rondina, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 37, 2710-2728, 2013.

  • "Capital Punishment and Deterrence: Understanding Disparate Results," with C. Fu and S. Navarro, Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 29, 1, 103-121, 2013.

  • "Pitfalls in the Use of Time Series Methods to Study Deterrence and Capital Punishment," with K. Charles, Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 29, 1, 45-66, 2013.

  • "Process and Context in Choice Models," with M. Abou-Zaid, M. Ben-Akiva, P.-A. Chiappori, M. M. Fosgerau, D, Fukuda, S. Hess, M. de Lapparent, D. McFadden, C. Manski, A. Pakes, A. de Palma, N. Picard, and J. Walker, Marketing Letters, 23, 2, 439-456, 2012.

  • "Model Uncertainty and Empirical Policy Analysis in Economics: A Selective Review," Advances in Austrian Economics, R. Koppl, S. Horwitz and L. Dobuzinskis, eds., vol 17, 203-226, 2012.

  • "Is God in the Details? A Reexamination of the Role of Religion in Economic Growth," with A. Kourtellos and C. M. Tan, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 27, 7, 1059-1075, 2012.

  • "Nonlinearities in Growth: From Evidence to Policy," with E. Cohen-Cole and G. Rondina, Journal of Macroeconomics, 34, 1, 42-58, 2012.

  • "Assumptions Matter: Model Uncertainty and the Deterrent Effect of Capital Punishment," with C. Fu and S, Navarro, American Economic Review, 102, 3, 487-492, 2012.

  • "Complexity, Economics, and Public Policy," Politics, Philosophy, & Economics, 11, 1, 45-75, 2012.

  • "On the Observational Implications of Taste-Based Discrimination in Racial Profiling," with W. Brock, J. Cooley, and S. Navarro, Journal of Econometrics, 166, 1, 66-78, 2012.

  • "Poverty Traps and Appalachia," in Appalachian Legacy: Economic Opportunity After the War on Poverty, J. Ziliak, ed., Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2012.

  • "The Deterrent Effect of Imprisonment," with D. Nagin, in Controlling Crime, P. Cook, J. Ludwig, and J. McCrary, eds., Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2011.

  • "Imprisonment and Crime: Can Both be Reduced?," with D. Nagin, Criminology and Public Policy, 10, 1, 13-54, 2011. Reprinted in Sentencing, T. Brooks, ed., Surrey: Ashgate Publishing, 2014.

  • "Identification of Social Interactions," with L. Blume, W. Brock and Y. Ioannides, in Handbook of Social Economics, J. Benhabib, A. Bisin, and M. Jackson, eds., Amsterdam: North Holland, 2011.

  • "Understanding Aggregate Crime Regressions," with S. Navarro and D. Rivers, Journal of Econometrics, 158, 2, 306-317, 2010.

  • "Social Interactions," with Y. Ioannides, Annual Review of Economics, 2, 451-478, 2010.

  • "Adoption Curves and Social Interactions," with W. Brock, Journal of the European Economic Association, 8, 232-251, 2010.

  • "Model Uncertainty and the Deterrent Effect of Capital Punishment," with E. Cohen-Cole, J. Fagan, and D. Nagin, American Law and Economics Review, 11, 335-369, 2009.

  • "Lionel Robbins on Economic Generalizations and Reality in the Light of Modern Econometrics," with R. Backhouse, Economica, 76, S1, 873-890, 2009.

  • "The Methods of Growth Econometrics," with P. Johnson and J. Temple, in Handbook of Econometrics, T. Mills and K. Patterson, eds., London: Macmillan, 2009.

  • "The Econometrics of Convergence," with P. Johnson and J. Temple, in Handbook of Econometrics, T. Mills and K. Patterson eds., London: Macmillan, 2009.

  • "The Rise and Fall of Cross-Country Growth Regressions," History of Political Economy, 41, Supplement 1 315-333, 2009.

  • "James Tobin and Growth Theory: Financial Factors and Long Run Growth," with R. Dimand, History of Political Economy, 41, Supplement 1, 182-199, 2009.

  • "On the Interpretation of Aggregate Crime Regressions," with S. Navarro and D. Rivers, in Crime Trends, A. Goldberger and R. Rosenfeld, eds., Washington DC: National Academy of Sciences Press, 2008.

  • "Frequency-Specific Effects of Stabilization Policies," with W. Brock and G. Rondina, American Economic Review, 98, 2, 241-245, 2008.

  • "Affirmative Action, Meritocracy, and Efficiency," Politics, Philosophy, & Economics, 7, 2, 131-158, 2008.

  • "Are Any Growth Theories Robust?," with C. M. Tan and A. Kourtellos, Economic Journal, 118, 527, 329-346, 2008.

  • "Memberships and Inequality," in Handbook of Social Capital, D. Castiglione, J. van Deth and G. Wolleb, eds., Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2008.

  • "Understanding Regression Versus Variance Tests for Social Interactions," with H. Tanaka, Economic Inquiry, 46, 1, 25-28, 2008.

  • "Convergence" (with P. Johnson), "Economic Growth: Stylized Facts," (with P. Johnson), "Instrumental Variables" (with C. Bates and M. Buchinsky), "ISLM" (with D. Hester), "Path Dependence," "William Sharpe," "Statistical Mechanics," and "Stigma" (with L. Blume), New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, revised edition, L. Blume and S. Durlauf, eds., 2008.

  • "Exchangeability," "Microeconomics," "Optimization," "Principal-Agent Problems," and "Prisoner’s Dilemma," with W. Brock, for International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences, W. Darity ed., 2007.

  • "Empirics of Growth and Development," with C. M. Tan and A. Kourtellos, International Handbook of Development Economics, A. K. Dutt and J. Ros, eds., Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK, 2007.

  • "Simple versus Optimal Rules as Guides to Policy," with W. Brock, J. Nason, and G. Rondina, Journal of Monetary Economics, 54, 5, 1372-1396, 2007.

  • "Identification of Binary Choice Models with Social Interactions," with W. Brock, Journal of Econometrics, 140, 1, 52-75, 2007.

  • "Model Uncertainty and Policy Evaluation: Some Theory and Empirics," with W. Brock and K. West, Journal of Econometrics, 136, 2, 629-664, 2007.

  • "Assessing Racial Profiling," Economic Journal, 116, 515, F402-F426, 2006.

  • "Social Interactions and Macroeconomics," with W. Brock, in Post-Walrasian Macroeconomics: Beyond the Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model, D. Colander, ed., New York: Cambridge University Press, 2006.

  • "Macroeconomics and Model Uncertainty," with W. Brock, in Post-Walrasian Macroeconomics: Beyond the Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model, D. Colander, ed., New York: Cambridge University Press, 2006.

  • "Racial Profiling as a Public Policy Question: Efficiency, Equity, and Ambiguity," American Economic Review, 92, 2, 132-136, 2006.

  • Growth Econometrics," with P. Johnson and J. Temple, in Handbook of Economic Growth, P. Aghion and S. Durlauf, eds., Amsterdam: North Holland, 2006.

  • "Social Capital," with M. Fafchamps, in Handbook of Economic Growth, P. Aghion and S. Durlauf, eds., Amsterdam: North Holland, 2006.

  • "Groups, Social Influences, and Inequality: A Memberships Theory Perspective on Poverty Traps," in Poverty Traps, S. Bowles, S. Durlauf, and K. Hoff, eds., Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2006.

  • "Multinomial Choice with Social Interactions," with W. Brock, in The Economy as an Evolving Complex System III, L. Blume and S. Durlauf, eds., New York: Oxford University Press, 2006.

  • "Identifying Social Interactions: A Review," with L. Blume, in Methods in Social Epidemiology, J. M. Oakes and J. Kaufman, eds., San Francisco: Jossey-Bass, 2005.

  • "Local Robustness Analysis: Theory and Application," with W. Brock, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 29, 11, 2067-2092, 2005.

  • "Complexity and Empirical Economics," Economic Journal, 112. 483, 225-243, 2005.

  • "Social Interactions Models," with E. Cohen-Cole, in Encyclopedia of Social Measurement, K. Lempf-Leonard, ed., Academic Press, 2004.

  • "Neighborhood Effects," in Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, vol. 4, J. V. Henderson and J.-F. Thisse, eds., Amsterdam: North Holland, 2004.

  • "Elements of a Theory of Design Limits to Optimal Policy," with W. Brock, The Manchester School, 72, Supplement 2, 1-18, 2004.

  • "Equilibrium Concepts for Social Interaction Models," with L. Blume, International Game Theory Review, 5, 3, 193-209, 2003.

  • "Policy Analysis in Uncertain Economic Environments (with discussion)," with W. Brock and K. West, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1, 235-322, 2003.

  • "Policy Evaluation and Empirical Growth Research," in Economic Growth: Sources, Trends, and Cycles, N. Loayza and R. Soto eds., Santiago: Central Bank of Chile, 2003.

  • "Is Assortative Matching Efficient?," with A. Seshadri, Economic Theory, 21, 2-3, 475-493, 2003.

  • "The Convergence Hypothesis After 10 Years," Revista Economica de Castilla-La Mancha, 2, 55-74, 2003. (In Spanish, English version available at http://www.ssc.wisc.edu/econ/archive/wp2003-06.pdf.)

  • "A Multinomial Choice Model with Neighborhood Effects," with W. Brock, American Economic Review, 92, 298-303. 2002.

  • "On the Empirics of Social Capital," Economic Journal, 112, 459-479, 2002.

  • "Bowling Alone: A Review Essay," Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 47, 3, 259-273, 2002.

  • "The Memberships Theory of Poverty: The Role of Group Affiliations In Determining Socioeconomic Outcomes," in Understanding Poverty in America, S. Danziger and R. Haveman, eds., Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 2002.

  • "A Framework for the Study of Individual Behavior and Social Interactions," Sociological Methodology, 31, 47-87, 2001.

  • "Social Interactions and Fertility Transitions," with J. Walker, in Diffusion Processes and Fertility Transition: Selected Perspectives, J. Casterline ed., Washington DC: National Academy Press, 2001.

  • "Interactions-Based Models," with W. Brock, in Handbook of Econometrics, vol. 5, J. Heckman and E. Leamer eds., Amsterdam: North-Holland, 2001.

  • "Growth Empirics and Reality," with W. Brock, World Bank Economic Review, 15, 229-272, 2001.

  • "The Local Solow Growth Model," with A. Kourtellos and A. Minkin, European Economic Review, 45, 928-940, 2001.

  • "Discrete Choice with Social Interactions," with W. Brock, Review of Economic Studies, 68, 2, 235-260, 2001. Reprinted in Complexity in Economics (The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics), J. B. Rosser and K. Kramer eds., Edward Elgar, 2004.

  • "The Interactions-Based Approach to Socioeconomic Behavior," with L. Blume, in Social Dynamics, S. Durlauf and H. P., Young, eds., Cambridge: MIT Press, 2001.

  • "The New Social Economics," with H. P. Young, in Social Dynamics, S. Durlauf and H. P. Young, eds., Cambridge: MIT Press, 2001.

  • "Manifesto for Growth Econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, 100, 65-69, 2001.

  • "Econometric Analysis and the Study of Economic Growth: A Skeptical Perspective," in Macroeconomics and the Real World, R. Backhouse and A. Salanti, eds., Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2000.

  • "The Memberships Theory of Inequality: Ideas and Implications," in Elites, Minorities, and Economic Growth, E. Brezis and P. Temin, eds., North Holland, 1999.

  • "The New Empirics of Economic Growth," with D. Quah, in Handbook of Macroeconomics, J. Taylor and M. Woodford eds., North-Holland, 1999.

  • "The Case "Against" Social Capital," Focus, 20, 3, 1-4, 1999.

  • "How Can Statistical Mechanics Contribute to the Study of Social Science?," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 96, 10582-10584, 1999.

  • "A Formal Model of Theory Choice in Science," with W. Brock, Economic Theory, 14, 113-130, 1999. Reprinted in Science Bought and Sold: The New Economics of Science, P. Mirowski and E. Sent, eds., Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2002.

  • "What Should Policymakers Know About Economic Complexity?" The Washington Quarterly, 21, 1, 157-165, 1998.

  • "Statistical Mechanics Approaches to Socioeconomic Behavior," in The Economy as an Evolving Complex System II, W. B. Arthur, S. N. Durlauf and D. Lane, eds., Menlo Park: Addison-Wesley, 1997.

  • "Introduction" in The Economy as an Evolving Complex System II, W. B. Arthur, S. N. Durlauf and D. Lane, eds., Menlo Park: Addison-Wesley, 1997.

  • "Limits to Science or Limits to Epistemology?," Complexity, 2, 3, 31-37, 1997.

  • "Associational Redistribution: A Defense," Politics and Society, 24, 4, 391-410, 1996. Reprinted in Recasting Egalitarianism, E. O. Wright ed., New York: Verso Press.

  • "An Incomplete Markets Model of Business Cycles," Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory, 2, 191-212, 1996.

  • "Neighborhood Feedbacks, Endogenous Stratification, and Income Inequality," in Dynamic Disequilibrium Modelling: Proceedings of the Ninth International Symposium on Economic Theory and Econometrics, W. Barnett, G. Gandolfo, and C. Hillinger, eds., Cambridge University Press, 1996.

  • "Long Run Economic Growth," with B. Raj and J. Helliwell, Empirical Economics, 21, 1-10, 1996.

  • "Bilateral Interactions and Aggregate Fluctuations," in Proceedings of the First World Congress of Nonlinear Analysts Volume III, V. Lakshmikantham ed., Walter DeGruyter, 1996.

  • "A Theory of Persistent Income Inequality," Journal of Economic Growth, 1, 75-93, 1996. Reprinted in Income Distribution (The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics), M. Sattinger, ed., Edward Elgar, 2001.

  • "Interpreting Tests of the Convergence Hypothesis," with A. Bernard, Journal of Econometrics, 71, 161-173, 1996.

  • "Measuring Noise in Inventory Models," with L. Maccini, Journal of Monetary Economics, 36, 65-91, 1995.

  • "Multiple Regimes and Cross-Country Growth Behavior," with P. Johnson, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 10, 365-384, 1995.

  • "Convergence of International Output," with A. Bernard, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 10, 97-108 1995.

  • "Misspecification Versus Bubbles in the Cagan Hyperinflation Model," with M. Hooker, in Nonstationary Time Series Analyses and Cointegration, C. Hargreaves, ed., Oxford University Press, 1994.

  • "On the Evolution of Economic Status Across Generations," with S. Cooper and P. Johnson, American Statistical Association, Business and Economic Section, Papers and Proceedings, 50-58, 1994.

  • "Spillovers, Stratification, and Inequality," European Economic Review, 38, 836-845, 1994.

  • "Path Dependence in Aggregate Output," Industrial and Corporate Change, 1, 149-172, 1994.

  • "Nonergodic Economic Growth," Review of Economic Studies, 60, 349-366, 1993. Reprinted in Complexity in Economics (The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics), J. B. Rosser and K. Kramer eds., Edward Elgar, 2004.

  • "Time Series Properties of Aggregate Output Fluctuations," Journal of Econometrics, 56, 39-56, 1993.

  • "International Differences in Economic Fluctuations," in Technology and the Wealth of Nations, R. Landau, D. Mowery and N. Rosenberg eds., Stanford: Stanford University Press, 1992.

  • "Multiple Equilibria and Persistence in Aggregate Fluctuations," American Economic Review, 81, 70-74, 1991.

  • "Spectral Based Testing of the Martingale Hypothesis," Journal of Econometrics, 50, 355-376, 1991.

  • "Testing the Positive Theory of Government Finance," with D. Bizer, Journal of Monetary Economics, 26, 123-141, 1990.

  • "Compositional Effects of Government Spending in a Two-Country Two-Sector Production Model," with R. Staiger, Journal of International Economics, 28, 333-347, 1990.

  • "Output Persistence, Economic Structure and the Choice of Stabilization Policy," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2, 69-116, 1989.

  • "Trends Versus Random Walks in Time Series Analysis," with P. C. B. Phillips, Econometrica, 56, 1333-1354, 1988.

  • "Multiple Time Series Regression with Integrated Processes," with P. C. B. Phillips, Review of Economic Studies, 53, 473-495, 1986.

University of Chicago
Harris School of Public Policy
1155 East 60th Street
Chicago, IL 60637